| 2007 PTF FIRST ROUND MOCK DRAFT — CORRECTED EDITION | | Roster needs, positional value and risk-adjusted prospect projections | | MOCK DRAFT BOARD | | Pick | Team | Top 3 Needs | Selection | POS | Projection Range | Rationale | | 1.01 |  Raiders | CB, DT, WR | Darrelle Revis | CB | Floor: SPD 94 / AGI 94 / ACC 94
Ceiling: SPD 99 / AGI 99 / ACC 99 | The Island rumour becomes reality. Oakland's corner room lacks a true defensive cornerstone and Revis possesses extraordinary 99 SPD, 99 AGI and 99 ACC scouting values. Even at the bottom of the permitted range, he remains an elite athlete capable of immediately changing Oakland's coverage structure. | | 1.02 |  Packers | LT, HB, OLB | Joe Thomas | LT | Floor: STR 86 / PBK 80 / RBK 80
Ceiling: STR 96 / PBK 90 / RBK 90 | Green Bay cannot enter another season relying on a below-average option at left tackle. Thomas is the safest infrastructure player in the class, combining 91 strength, balanced 85 blocking grades, 99 injury and 98 toughness. His floor is already starting calibre and his ceiling gives the Packers a franchise blind-side protector. | | 1.03 |  Bears | MLB, FS, LG | Patrick Willis | MLB | Floor: SPD 94 / STR 79 / TAK 74
Ceiling: SPD 99 / STR 89 / TAK 84 | Chicago has stars throughout the defence but a clear opportunity to upgrade the middle linebacker position. Willis is the cleanest defensive difference-maker remaining. The headline is 99 speed at 242 pounds, backed by 84 strength, 78 awareness, 79 tackling and exceptional durability. | | 1.04 |  Lions | ROLB, LT, RG | Lawrence Timmons | MLB/OLB | Floor: SPD 84 / ACC 86 / TAK 78
Ceiling: SPD 94 / ACC 96 / TAK 88 | Detroit's weakest starting defensive position is outside linebacker. Timmons has the athletic profile to play inside or outside and brings better awareness than most of the linebacker class. He gives the Lions a flexible second-level defender before they address the offensive line with their second selection. | | 1.05 |  Saints | SS, OL, DT | Aaron Rouse
Original mock: Ken Shackleford, RT | SS | Floor: SPD 83 / ACC 86 / CTH 67
Ceiling: SPD 93 / ACC 96 / CTH 77 | Corrected selection. New Orleans has a genuine hole at safety and Rouse supplies the length and athletic ability required to fix it. At 6'4" and 223 pounds, he combines 88 speed, 91 acceleration, 87 agility, 72 catch, 97 injury and 98 toughness. His tackling must improve, but his size and coverage range create a rare ceiling. The Saints believe Rouse will develop into a Pro Bowl defensive back rather than merely filling a short-term need. | | 1.06 |  Giants | EDGE, LB, OL | LaMarr Woodley | RE | Floor: SPD 65 / STR 69 / ACC 75
Ceiling: SPD 85 / STR 89 / ACC 95 | The Giants need another front-seven disruptor. Woodley is not the cleanest pure athlete, but 79 strength, 83 agility, 85 acceleration and 99 toughness create a powerful edge profile. He can play with his hand down or operate as a pressure linebacker, giving New York valuable scheme flexibility. | | 1.07 |  Panthers | WR, FS, HB | Sidney Rice
Original mock: Chris Denman, LT | WR | Floor: SPD 82 / AGI 91 / ACC 89 / CTH 72
Ceiling: SPD 92 / AGI 99 / ACC 99 / CTH 82 | Corrected selection. Marty Booker is a stop-gap rather than a long-term starting receiver, and Andrew Walter needs more receiving help around Steve Smith, Terrell Owens and Roy Williams. Rice offers a 6'4" target with 96 agility, 94 acceleration, 77 catch and 89 jump.
Carolina no longer needs to force an offensive tackle here. The offseason acquisitions of Chris Rimpf and Jeff Hartwig solidify the offensive line. Last year's rookie Brad Butler can shift to right tackle, while third-year tackle Rashad Alabi possesses immense athletic traits and remains highly regarded by the coaching staff. Rice therefore gives Carolina greater immediate value at a position where Walter needs another young weapon. | | 1.08 | Packers | HB, OLB, DT | Marshawn Lynch | HB | Floor: SPD 83 / CAR 75 / BTK 71
Ceiling: SPD 93 / CAR 85 / BTK 81 | After protecting the quarterback, Green Bay fixes its backfield. Lynch brings a balanced three-down profile with 88 speed, 80 carrying, 76 break tackle and strong durability. He lacks a single overwhelming rating, but there is no major hole in his game if the scouting lands near its midpoint. | | 1.09 | Lions | LT, RG, WR depth | Chris Denman
Original mock: Levi Brown, LT | LT | Floor: STR 90 / PBK 78 / RBK 77
Ceiling: STR 99 / PBK 88 / RBK 87 | Adjusted following Carolina's correction. Denman becomes available because the Panthers select Sidney Rice. Detroit immediately takes advantage. The 6'7", 315-pound tackle possesses 95 strength, 83 pass block, 82 run block and 93 toughness. His movement ratings carry uncertainty, but the core blocking projection gives Detroit a more powerful blind-side prospect than the original Levi Brown selection. | | 1.10 |  Buccaneers | WR, TE, CB | Calvin Johnson
Original mock: Dwayne Bowe, WR | WR | Floor: SPD 81 / AGI 78 / ACC 88 / CTH 76
Ceiling: SPD 91 / AGI 88 / ACC 98 / CTH 86 | Corrected selection. Tampa Bay takes the class's most physically imposing receiver. Johnson is 6'5", 239 pounds with 76 strength, 93 acceleration and an excellent 81 catch rating. His listed speed is not as exceptional as his real-world reputation, while his durability ratings introduce material risk. However, his size, hands, acceleration and physicality give the Buccaneers a potential offensive centrepiece with a ceiling no other available receiver can match. | | 1.11 |  Bengals | DT, CB, OL | Alan Branch | DT | Floor: SPD 81 / STR 80 / ACC 83
Ceiling: SPD 96 / STR 90 / ACC 98 | Branch is the draft's ultimate boom-or-bust interior prospect. At 6'6", 350 pounds, his listed 91 speed and 93 acceleration are almost absurd. His awareness, tackling, stamina and injury ratings create significant downside, but Cincinnati can justify gambling on a defensive tackle whose athletic ceiling is unlike anything else in the pool. | | 1.12 |  Cardinals | LE, SS, ROLB | Adam Carriker | LE | Floor: SPD 68 / STR 72 / TAK 66
Ceiling: SPD 88 / STR 92 / TAK 76 | Arizona needs another defensive-line building block. Carriker's 6'6", 300-pound frame allows him to play end or move inside. The 78 speed and 82 strength combination gives him a strong physical baseline, while 99 toughness reduces some of the risk created by an average awareness grade. | | 1.13 |  Redskins | OLB, CB, OL | Justin Durant
Original mock: Dante Hughes, CB | ROLB | Floor: SPD 83 / STR 76 / ACC 90 / TAK 61
Ceiling: SPD 93 / STR 86 / ACC 99 / TAK 71 | Corrected selection. Washington targets the best outside linebacker available rather than reaching into the cornerback class. The linebacker pool is deep, but Durant offers enough value at this slot to justify starting the run. He has 88 speed, 81 strength and 95 acceleration, giving Washington a fast, physical defender who can pursue across the formation.
Durant's awareness and tackling require development, but the athletic profile is first-round quality. Washington also owns later selections, allowing the club to address its offensive line and secondary without passing on the best available linebacker here. | | 1.14 |  Jets | WR1, QB depth, OL depth | Jason Hill | WR | Floor: SPD 88 / ACC 90 / CTH 73
Ceiling: SPD 98 / ACC 99 / CTH 83 | The Jets have a deep roster but lack a dominant outside receiver. Hill brings 93 speed, 95 acceleration, 78 catch and excellent physical strength for a receiver. His awareness is the clear developmental concern, but Alex Smith gets a vertical target who can threaten defensive backs immediately. | | 1.15 |  Ravens | RT, WR, DT | Levi Brown
Original mock: Jermon Bushrod, RT | LT/RT | Floor: STR 86 / PBK 73 / RBK 71
Ceiling: STR 96 / PBK 83 / RBK 81 | Corrected selection. Baltimore takes advantage of Levi Brown falling after Detroit upgrades to Chris Denman. Brown has the frame and strength to play either tackle position, with 91 strength, 68 awareness, 98 injury and enough acceleration to handle the edge. His blocking ceiling may not match Joe Thomas or Denman, but he is a stronger overall tackle investment than the original Bushrod selection and directly addresses Baltimore's protection needs. | | 1.16 |  Eagles | LE, CB depth, LB depth | Anthony Spencer | LOLB/EDGE | Floor: SPD 80 / AWR 59 / TAK 80
Ceiling: SPD 90 / AWR 69 / TAK 90 | Philadelphia needs another edge presence. Spencer is listed as an outside linebacker, yet his 6'3", 265-pound frame and 85 tackling make him a natural conversion candidate. He adds edge strength without forcing the Eagles to abandon their existing defensive structure. | | 1.17 |  Vikings | FS, CB, SS | Dashon Goldson | FS | Floor: SPD 88 / ACC 90 / TAK 70
Ceiling: SPD 98 / ACC 99 / TAK 80 | Minnesota's safety room is a major concern. Goldson offers 93 speed, 95 acceleration, 97 jump and 75 tackling. Awareness is the obvious risk, but the Vikings need range and playmaking talent more than another conservative depth option. | | 1.18 |  Chargers | LB, OL, DT | Zak DeOssie
Original mock: Arron Sears, LG | MLB/OLB | Floor: SPD 82 / STR 76 / ACC 90 / TAK 72
Ceiling: SPD 92 / STR 86 / ACC 99 / TAK 82 | Corrected selection. San Diego follows the same value principle Washington used at 1.13 and selects the best remaining linebacker. DeOssie has 87 speed, 81 strength, 99 agility, 95 acceleration, 77 tackling, 98 injury and 99 toughness. Those traits allow him to play inside, outside or contribute immediately on special teams.
His awareness is not yet elite, but his overall physical profile is stronger than the remaining offensive-line value. In a deep linebacker class, DeOssie still stands apart because he combines linebacker size with defensive-back movement skills. | | 1.19 | Redskins | OL, Safety, CB | Ken Shackleford
Original mock: Aaron Rouse, SS | RT | Floor: STR 87 / PBK 72 / RBK 73
Ceiling: STR 97 / PBK 82 / RBK 83 | Adjusted following the New Orleans correction. Aaron Rouse is no longer available, but Washington benefits from the resulting board movement. Shackleford is the biggest blocker in the class at 6'5" and 366 pounds, with 92 strength, 97 injury and 95 toughness. His movement and blocking grades contain risk, but Washington has already secured Justin Durant and can now use its second selection on a potential long-term right tackle. | | 1.20 |  Cowboys | OL, FS, WR | Allen Barbre | LT | Floor: STR 83 / PBK 76 / RBK 74
Ceiling: STR 93 / PBK 86 / RBK 84 | Dallas invests in tackle value. Barbre is one of the more athletic linemen available, with 62 speed and 83 acceleration alongside 88 strength. His agility scouting is volatile, but the blocking and durability profile gives the Cowboys a credible starting tackle or high-end swing lineman. | | 1.21 |  Falcons | WR, CB, OL | Mike Sims-Walker | WR | Floor: SPD 84 / ACC 89 / CTH 65
Ceiling: SPD 94 / ACC 99 / CTH 75 | Atlanta gives its quarterback another big outside target. Sims-Walker has 89 speed, 94 acceleration, 91 agility and 98 jump at 6'2". His awareness is developmental, but the Falcons gain a receiver capable of stretching the field and winning contested situations. | | 1.22 | Jets | QB depth, DL depth, CB depth | Reggie Nelson | FS | Floor: SPD 83 / ACC 86 / TAK 72
Ceiling: SPD 93 / ACC 96 / TAK 82 | This is value rather than desperation. Nelson's 88 speed, 91 acceleration, 77 tackling and 99 injury make him a useful defensive chess piece. He can develop behind an established starter and provide immediate sub-package and special-teams value. | | 1.23 | Falcons | CB, OL, LB | Brandon McDonald | CB | Floor: SPD 88 / AGI 88 / AWR 62
Ceiling: SPD 98 / AGI 98 / AWR 72 | Atlanta follows its receiver selection with a young corner. McDonald is one of the safer developmental defensive backs because his 67 awareness is stronger than most of the athletic corner group. His 93 speed, 93 agility and 70 catch give him immediate nickel potential with outside-starter upside. | | 1.24 | Panthers | FS, HB, OL depth | LaRon Landry | SS/FS | Floor: SPD 85 / CTH 70 / TAK 80
Ceiling: SPD 95 / CTH 80 / TAK 90 | After adding Sidney Rice, Carolina attacks the weakest defensive room on the roster. Landry has 90 speed, 75 catch, 85 tackling, 99 stamina and strong durability. Although listed at strong safety, he has sufficient range to play deep while also giving Carolina a physical box defender. Rice and Landry give the Panthers immediate help on both sides of the ball. | | 1.25 | Packers | OLB, DT, WR depth | Tim Shaw
Original mock: Justin Durant, ROLB | LOLB | Floor: SPD 83 / STR 72 / ACC 82 / TAK 65
Ceiling: SPD 93 / STR 82 / ACC 92 / TAK 75 | Adjusted following Washington's selection of Durant. Green Bay still addresses outside linebacker, but moves to the next available option. Shaw has 88 speed, 77 strength, 87 acceleration, 70 tackling and 99 toughness. He is less explosive than Durant and carries a lower overall ceiling, but his physical floor and durability make him a credible starting candidate. | | 1.26 |  Chiefs | QB, WR, Secondary | Jordan Palmer
Original mock: Brady Quinn, QB | QB | Floor: THP 87 / THA 78 / AWR 58
Ceiling: THP 97 / THA 88 / AWR 68 | Corrected selection. Kansas City still makes a quarterback investment but chooses the passer with the stronger awareness profile without giving away the other critical attributes. Palmer has 63 awareness compared with Quinn's 51, while also offering 92 throw power and 83 accuracy.
Quinn owns five additional points of arm strength, but Palmer gains seven points of accuracy, 12 points of awareness and carries a 99 injury rating. Drew Stanton has slightly better awareness and mobility, but his 84 throw power represents a more substantial sacrifice. Palmer provides the best balance of arm strength, accuracy, awareness and durability in the available quarterback pool. | | 1.27 |  Titans | DT, WR, OL depth | Paul Soliai | DT | Floor: STR 75 / AWR 65 / TAK 65
Ceiling: STR 85 / AWR 75 / TAK 75 | Tennessee needs a true interior anchor for its preferred 4-3 structure. Soliai is 6'4", 345 pounds with 70 awareness, 70 tackling and 92 toughness. He is not an explosive penetrator, but his size and relatively stable mental profile give the Titans a dependable early-down defensive tackle. | | 1.28 |  Jaguars | LB, OT, Safety | Paul Posluszny | MLB | Floor: SPD 84 / ACC 86 / TAK 77
Ceiling: SPD 94 / ACC 96 / TAK 87 | Jacksonville continues the first-round linebacker run. Posluszny offers 89 speed, 91 acceleration, 82 tackling and 92 stamina. His awareness is solid rather than exceptional, but his floor is a reliable run defender and his ceiling is a productive three-down linebacker. | | 1.29 | Packers | DT, WR depth, CB depth | Matt Toeaina | DT | Floor: STR 82 / ACC 70 / TAK 50
Ceiling: STR 92 / ACC 80 / TAK 60 | Green Bay uses its fourth pick on the defensive interior. Toeaina brings 87 strength and enough short-area movement to contribute in a rotation. His awareness and tackling keep him out of the top half of the round, but this is a reasonable roster-value selection at 1.29. | | 1.30 |  Seahawks | OL, CB, LB | Ben Grubbs | RG | Floor: STR 88 / PBK 75 / RBK 74
Ceiling: STR 98 / PBK 85 / RBK 84 | Seattle takes one of the best remaining trench prospects. Grubbs combines 93 strength, 73 awareness and balanced blocking. His agility is limited, but his acceleration and durability give him a strong chance to become an immediate interior starter. | | 1.31 |  Browns | CB, RT, WR | C.J. Gaddis | CB | Floor: SPD 88 / AGI 88 / CTH 56
Ceiling: SPD 98 / AGI 98 / CTH 66 | Cleveland adds premium athleticism to the secondary. Gaddis has 93 speed, 93 agility and 89 acceleration at 203 pounds. His 48 awareness means he may not be ready for a full outside role immediately, but his physical profile offers a much higher ceiling than the typical late-first corner. | | 1.32 | Redskins | Safety, CB, Offensive depth | Josh Beekman | RG | Floor: STR 90 / PBK 76 / RBK 73
Ceiling: STR 99 / PBK 86 / RBK 83 | Washington closes Round 1 by adding more power to the offensive line. Beekman is 6'6", 319 pounds with 95 strength, 91 injury and 99 toughness. His awareness is the major uncertainty, but his physical and blocking floor make him a sensible developmental starter. Durant, Shackleford and Beekman give Washington one explosive linebacker and two major offensive-line investments. |
| CORRECTED PICK SUMMARY | 1.05 Saints — Aaron Rouse, SS: Replaces Ken Shackleford. New Orleans fills its safety hole with a long, athletic defender carrying Pro Bowl potential.
1.07 Panthers — Sidney Rice, WR: Replaces Chris Denman. Carolina trusts its rebuilt offensive line and gives Andrew Walter a young 6'4" receiving target.
1.09 Lions — Chris Denman, LT: Replaces Levi Brown. Detroit takes the more powerful tackle after Denman becomes available.
1.10 Buccaneers — Calvin Johnson, WR: Replaces Dwayne Bowe. Tampa Bay chooses the draft's most physically imposing receiver.
1.13 Redskins — Justin Durant, ROLB: Replaces Dante Hughes. Washington starts the linebacker run and secures the best available outside linebacker.
1.15 Ravens — Levi Brown, OT: Replaces Jermon Bushrod. Baltimore capitalises on Brown's fall and gains a stronger all-round tackle prospect.
1.18 Chargers — Zak DeOssie, LB: Replaces Arron Sears. San Diego prioritises the best remaining linebacker and gains major positional flexibility.
1.19 Redskins — Ken Shackleford, RT: Replaces Aaron Rouse, who is now selected by New Orleans. Washington adds the class's biggest offensive tackle.
1.25 Packers — Tim Shaw, LOLB: Replaces Justin Durant, who is now selected by Washington.
1.26 Chiefs — Jordan Palmer, QB: Replaces Brady Quinn. Palmer improves awareness and accuracy while retaining strong arm talent. |
| SCOUTING-RANGE METHODOLOGY | The CSV contains numerical attributes but does not retain the visual bold formatting from the original scouting interface. Each position's defining traits are therefore treated as the bold/scouted ratings and assigned a ±5 range. Supporting and non-core attributes carry a wider ±10 range.
Core traits include THP, THA and AWR for quarterbacks; SPD, AGI, ACC and CTH for receivers and defensive backs; CAR and BTK for halfbacks; PBK and RBK for offensive linemen; and STR, TAK and relevant movement ratings for front-seven defenders.
All ranges are capped between 0 and 99. The floor is not a predicted final overall rating. It represents a reasonable downside outcome for the player's most important traits after hidden scouting variation is applied. The ceiling represents the corresponding best-case trait outcome. |
| ROUND 1 BIGGEST WINNERS | Panthers: Carolina refuses to force offensive line after adding Rimpf and Hartwig, shifting Butler to right tackle and retaining confidence in Alabi. Sidney Rice gives Walter another large target, while LaRon Landry fixes the weak safety room. This is a more balanced and better-sequenced first round than the original tackle-safety combination.
Redskins: Washington uses three selections on Justin Durant, Ken Shackleford and Josh Beekman. Durant provides explosive linebacker value, while two enormous linemen reshape the offensive front.
Packers: Joe Thomas, Marshawn Lynch, Tim Shaw and Matt Toeaina address four separate roster weaknesses. Losing Durant reduces the ceiling slightly, but Green Bay still executes the deepest needs-based first round.
Saints: Aaron Rouse is an aggressive pick at 1.05, but he directly addresses the roster's safety hole. His combination of size, athleticism and durability gives New Orleans a potential Pro Bowl defender.
Lions: Lawrence Timmons and Chris Denman repair two of Detroit's clearest weaknesses. Denman is a stronger physical tackle prospect than the originally projected Levi Brown.
Buccaneers: Calvin Johnson carries meaningful durability risk, but his combination of size, acceleration, strength and hands gives Tampa Bay the most imposing offensive prospect in the class. |
| BIGGEST ROUND 1 RISKS | Calvin Johnson to Tampa Bay: Johnson possesses rare size and receiving ability, but his 63 injury and 73 toughness ratings create a serious durability concern for a top-10 selection.
Alan Branch to Cincinnati: A 350-pound defensive tackle with 91 listed speed could become the most destructive player in the class. His poor awareness, stamina and injury profile could also make the workout numbers meaningless.
Aaron Rouse to New Orleans: Rouse has Pro Bowl physical traits, but selecting him fifth overall places significant pressure on his awareness and tackling development.
Jordan Palmer to Kansas City: Palmer is the most balanced quarterback option, not a flawless one. His awareness is materially better than Quinn's but remains only 63 before scouting variation.
LaMarr Woodley to New York: Woodley's position fit is not automatic. The Giants must decide whether he is a defensive end, outside linebacker or situational pressure player.
Dashon Goldson to Minnesota: Goldson has the range to transform the Vikings' secondary, but his low awareness could produce early coverage mistakes. |
| PANTHERS DRAFT ROOM | 1.07 — Sidney Rice, WR
Carolina's original mock selected Chris Denman because left tackle appeared to be the roster's greatest structural weakness. The offseason changed that calculation. Chris Rimpf and Jeff Hartwig provide experienced additions, Brad Butler can move from left guard to right tackle, and the coaching staff remains excited by Alabi's immense athletic traits.
That allows Carolina to address a different problem. Marty Booker is a temporary solution and Andrew Walter needs young receiving talent. Rice is only 21 years old and offers a 6'4" frame, 96 agility, 94 acceleration, 77 catch and 89 jump. He gives Walter a large intermediate and red-zone target while learning alongside Steve Smith, Terrell Owens and Roy Williams.
1.24 — LaRon Landry, SS/FS
Carolina's front seven already contains DeMarcus Ware, Kris Jenkins, DeMeco Ryans and Will Witherspoon. The more significant defensive weakness is behind them. Landry supplies range, physical tackling and excellent stamina. He can play deep safety, work near the line of scrimmage or rotate with Michael Boulware.
Offensive-line plan:
LT — Anthony Alabi or Chris Rimpf
LG — Chris Rimpf or Deuce Letui
C — Jason Ball
RG — Justin Hartwig
RT — Brad Butler
Panthers Round Grade: A
Carolina adds a young receiving weapon for Walter without abandoning its offensive-line development plan, then secures one of the strongest and most versatile safeties in the class. Rice and Landry provide a better combination of immediate need and long-term upside than the original Denman-Landry pairing. |
| FINAL MOCK LINE | | The corrected first round becomes more aggressive at the skill positions and at linebacker. New Orleans bets on Aaron Rouse becoming a Pro Bowl safety, Carolina trusts its rebuilt offensive line and gives Andrew Walter a 6'4" target, Tampa Bay swings for Calvin Johnson's rare physical ceiling, and Washington uses its draft capital to secure Justin Durant before rebuilding the offensive front. The quarterback decision also changes: Kansas City passes on Brady Quinn's arm-strength gamble for Jordan Palmer's better balance of awareness, accuracy and durability. |
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