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Composite Mock Draft Rankings
By Keith Van Wagner
Special to primetime-football.com

A Composite Big Board from All 4 Mock Drafts

The draft is less than a week away. Already we’ve seen four mock drafts published on the forum. Four different philosophies and perspectives . One number-one overall pick that everybody agreed on, and 67 other guys where our GMs could not have disagreed more if they tried.

I took Cook's, Barber's, Roberts', and Hinch's mocks and mashed them into a single composite ranking big board that rewards both how high a player got drafted and how many GMs actually believed in him. Full methodology and full 68-player list below.

A Couple of Important Notes Before We Get Into It. First, I did not include the JaMarcus Russell at 1.02 in Brad’s original mock which had his Packers taking JaMarcus Russell near the top of the board. So this composite ranking excludes his (hopefully) joke pick. If it wasn't a joke, well, Green Bay's front office has some explaining to do either way. Also, it’s unclear which mocks included knowledge of skew ratings, so this may account for some differences.

The Ranking Methodology

To create the rankings I used a basic Bourda count. Every mock draft covered the first round. For every mock a player appeared in, he earned points based on where he was drafted: 33 − pick number. So a 1st overall pick is worth 32 points, a 32nd overall pick is worth 1 point. A player who didn't appear in a given mock simply earns zero points for that mock — no penalty beyond the fact that nobody thought to put him on the board.

Then I summed points across all 4 mocks. That means a player who's a consistent late-round-of-round-1 guy in every single mock can out-score a player who was a top-10 pick in only one or two. Getting picked by everybody, even if not that highly, says something. Getting picked highly by one person, but ignored by three others, says something different.

The Full 68-Player Composite Big Board




































































RK
PLAYER
POS
PTS
MOCKS
AVG PICK
RANGE
1
Darrelle Revis
CB
128
4/4
1.0
1–1
2
Patrick Willis
MLB
121
4/4
2.8
2–3
3
Joe Thomas
LT
118
4/4
3.5
2–6
4
Lawrence Timmons
MLB
103
4/4
7.2
3–12
5
Calvin Johnson
WR
97
4/4
8.8
7–10
6
Sidney Rice
WR
93
4/4
9.8
4–20
7
Aaron Rouse
S
79
3/4
6.7
5–8
8
Steve Smith
WR
62
3/4
12.3
7–21
9
Justin Durant
OLB
61
3/4
12.7
12–13
10
Zak DeOssie
LB
58
3/4
13.7
5–18
11
Alan Branch
DT
58
3/4
13.7
5–25
12
Chris Denman
LT
51
2/4
7.5
6–9
13
Jason Hill
WR
49
3/4
16.7
13–23
14
Anthony Waters
ILB
48
2/4
9.0
6–12
15
Marshawn Lynch
RB
47
2/4
9.5
8–11
16
Dwayne Bowe
WR
46
2/4
10.0
9–11
17
Paul Posluszny
MLB
46
3/4
17.7
9–28
18
LaMarr Woodley
DE
45
2/4
10.5
6–15
19
Anthony Spencer
LOLB
42
3/4
19.0
16–25
20
Brandon McDonald
CB
40
3/4
19.7
18–23
21
Dashon Goldson
S
39
4/4
23.2
17–32
22
Jacoby Jones
WR
32
2/4
17.0
13–21
23
John Beason
MLB
32
2/4
17.0
14–20
24
Ken Shackleford
OT
30
2/4
18.0
17–19
25
Joe Staley
RT
29
1/4
4.0
4–4
26
Ed Johnson
DT
28
1/4
5.0
5–5
27
Andrew Carnahan
LT
28
2/4
19.0
15–23
28
James Jones
WR
27
2/4
19.5
19–20
29
Ryne Robinson
WR
23
1/4
10.0
10–10
30
Clifton Ryan
DT
22
1/4
11.0
11–11
31
Adam Carriker
LE
21
1/4
12.0
12–12
32
Clark Harris
TE
21
2/4
22.5
17–28
33
Allen Barbre
LT
20
2/4
23.0
20–26
34
Ben Patrick
TE
19
1/4
14.0
14–14
35
Zach Miller
TE
19
1/4
14.0
14–14
36
Laurent Robinson
WR
19
2/4
23.5
19–28
37
Clint Oldenburg
RT
18
1/4
15.0
15–15
38
Levi Brown
LT/RT
18
1/4
15.0
15–15
39
Brian Smith
LOLB
17
1/4
16.0
16–16
40
Mike Sims-Walker
WR
17
2/4
24.5
21–28
41
Ben Grubbs
OG
17
2/4
24.5
19–30
42
Jermon Bushrod
RT
16
1/4
17.0
17–17
43
Scott Chandler
TE
16
2/4
25.0
24–26
44
LaRon Landry
S
15
2/4
25.5
24–27
45
Greg Peterson
DE
15
2/4
25.5
21–30
46
Reggie Nelson
FS
11
1/4
22.0
22–22
47
Trent Edwards
QB
11
1/4
22.0
22–22
48
Herb Taylor
RT
10
1/4
23.0
23–23
49
Tim Shaw
OLB
10
2/4
28.0
25–31
50
Adrian Peterson
RB
9
1/4
24.0
24–24
51
Greg Olsen
TE
9
1/4
24.0
24–24
52
Keyunta Dawson
OLB
8
1/4
25.0
25–25
53
Corey Hilliard
LT
7
1/4
26.0
26–26
54
Jordan Palmer
QB
7
1/4
26.0
26–26
55
Stephen Nicholas
ROLB
6
1/4
27.0
27–27
56
Chris Harris
DT
6
1/4
27.0
27–27
57
Paul Soliai
DT
6
1/4
27.0
27–27
58
C.J. Gaddis
CB
6
2/4
30.0
29–31
59
Drew Stanton
QB
4
1/4
29.0
29–29
60
Dante Hughes
CB
4
1/4
29.0
29–29
61
Matt Toeaina
DT
4
1/4
29.0
29–29
62
Arron Sears
LG
3
1/4
30.0
30–30
63
Ray McDonald
DE
3
1/4
30.0
30–30
64
Corey Graham
CB
2
1/4
31.0
31–31
65
Tyler Palko
QB
2
1/4
31.0
31–31
66
Daren Stone
S
1
1/4
32.0
32–32
67
Brad Banneman
RG
1
1/4
32.0
32–32
68
Josh Beekman
RG
1
1/4
32.0
32–32


What the Data Shows

The top 3 is not up for debate. Darrelle Revis, Patrick Willis, and Joe Thomas all went in all 4 mocks, all within a tiny range of each other (Revis literally went #1 overall in every single one). If your league's mock drafters agree on nothing else this year, they agree on this. Book it.

Sidney Rice is going high in the 1st round…or not. He appeared in all 4 mocks — full marks for buzz — but his range is an absolutely wild 4th overall to 20th overall. That's not a guy people are unsure about in a "meh, maybe round 2" way. That's four smart evaluators looking at the exact same player and seeing four completely different players. Somebody's very right and somebody's very wrong.

Is Chris Denman a first rounder? Only 2 of 4 mocks had him at all — but both times, top 10 (6th and 9th overall). He outranks a pile of players who showed up in three separate mocks purely because when people do like him, they really like him.

Nobody trusts this quarterback class. Nearly every quarterback in the pool — Trent Edwards, Jordan Palmer, Drew Stanton, Tyler Palko — landed in the bottom third of the board, and none of them appeared in more than one mock (setting aside the Russell situation entirely). If your team is quarterback-needy heading into this draft, get comfortable, because the board says there isn't a consensus answer waiting for you.

The Receiver, O Line, and Linebacker class is DEEP. Across the 68 unique players who showed up on the four boards, the offensive line was the deepest position in this class by a mile — 15 different linemen got first round buzz from at least one GM. Linebacker wasn't far behind with 12 players identified as possible first round talent. Wide receiver came in next with 10 players. Cornerback, safety, and tight end each landed 5 players on somebody's board, while quarterback managed just 4 (setting aside the Russell situation) — and running back was the shallowest group of all, with only 2 different backs — Marshawn Lynch and Adrian Peterson — drawing first-round consideration from anyone.
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